BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Mount Ayr

Class: 1A Class Rank: 66 Conference: (8-8) Overall: (12-11) Overall Strength =   51.55

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/21/2011 Home    W    52.88  38  34   1A  71 (13- 9) Orient-Macksburg        0.37      3.63                      
  2 11/22/2011 Home    L    44.70  39  58   1A  25 (19- 4) Villisca               -7.81    -11.19                      
  3 11/28/2011 Home    W    50.84  33  31   1A  68 (17- 7) Murray                 -1.67      3.67                      
  4 11/29/2011 Away    W    54.16  51  38   1A 106 ( 7-15) Mormon Trail            1.65     11.35                      
  5 12/02/2011 Away    L *  53.54  31  51   1A  17 (18- 7) Corning                 1.03    -21.03                      
  6 12/06/2011 Away    W *  45.01  46  45   1A  98 ( 6-17) Afton East Union       -7.51      8.51                      
  7 12/09/2011 Home    L *  64.84  26  40   1A   6 (26- 2) Bedford                12.33 *  -26.33                      
  8 12/13/2011 Home    L *  45.27  27  54   2A  48 (20- 3) Nodaway Valley         -7.24    -19.76                      
  9 12/16/2011 Away    W *  64.04  48  40   2A 108 (11-11) Truro Interstate-35    11.53     -3.53                      
 10 01/03/2012 Home    L *  48.55  27  49   1A  17 (18- 7) Corning                -3.96    -18.04                      
 11 01/06/2012 Home    W *  71.47  39  36   1A  18 (14-12) Martensdale M-SM       18.96    -15.96                      
 12 01/09/2012 Away    L    51.27  32  59   2A  40 (17- 4) Osceola Clarke         -1.24 *  -25.76                      
 13 01/10/2012 Home    W *  51.69  57  39   1A 110 ( 3-20) Lenox                  -0.82     18.82                      
 14 01/13/2012 Away    L *  65.38  32  44   2A  36 (19- 5) Leon Central Decatur   12.87 *  -24.87                      
 15 01/17/2012 Home    W *  52.02  40  29   1A  98 ( 6-17) Afton East Union       -0.49     11.49                      
 16 01/20/2012 Home    W *  56.98  36  28   1A  70 ( 7-16) Corydon Wayne           4.47      3.53                      
 17 01/24/2012 Away    L *  46.83  24  59   1A   6 (26- 2) Bedford                -5.68 *  -29.32                      
 18 01/27/2012 Away    W *  51.66  37  35   1A  80 ( 5-17) Southeast Warren       -0.86      2.86                      
 19 01/31/2012 Away    L *  56.26  32  51   2A  48 (20- 3) Nodaway Valley          3.75    -22.75                      
 20 02/03/2012 Home    W *  67.81  53  37   2A 109 ( 6-16) Pleasantville          15.30      0.70                      
 21 02/07/2012 Away    L *  35.68  35  36   1A 110 ( 3-20) Lenox                 -16.83     15.83                      
 22 02/09/2012 Home    W    37.05  47  44   1A 117 ( 6-15) Lamoni                -15.46     18.46                      
 23 02/14/2012 Home    L    39.84  47  56   1A  68 (17- 7) Murray                -12.67      3.67                      
      Averages              52.51  38.1 43.2

Best game:   71.47 = 3 point win over Martensdale-St Marys
Worst game:  35.68 = 1 point loss to Lenox
Team stdev:   9.51